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13 Killer NFL Team Stats: A baker's dozen of useful stats for spread handicapping.
Posted: 01/30/08

When it comes to handicapping the NFL versus the point spread, there are a number of stats that I have found to be extremely effective in revealing profitable trends versus the line. The top 13 of these are listed below....

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Innovative NFL Trend Analysis and Spread Handicapping Tools
NFL Situation Spotlight - #109: Offensive Holding Penalties (OHP).
Posted: 07/06/08

Those of you that have had a chance to read some of my past articles may have come across a write-up discussing the predictive power behind Play-book Execution Penalties, which are flags thrown when plays break-down, usually on offense. Penalty calls that fall into this category include infractions such as: Intentional Grounding, Ineligible Receivers, Illegal Shifts and Motions, Illegal Forward Passes, and so on....

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Simple NFL Systems #21 & #33: More Early-Season Betting Strategies.
Posted: 08/28/08

When it comes to handicapping NFL games in September, there are really only a handful of stats from the current season that are truly meaningful, in addition to an assortment of variables from the team's previous season that also are fairly predictive in nature....

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November 18th, 2008

Full analysis for Week 12 is now available. It was yet another profitable week last Sunday as selections were 8-7 ATS overall while teams with a Confidence % >= 70% were 2-0 ATS, raising the record of these 'super' high-percentage picks to 6-2 ATS on the season. Access to the Web's most comprehensive coverage of NFL point spreads, team strength and strategy, is currently only $79.95 for the rest of the season! What are you waiting for? Sign up and get informed, today!


Since 1999, Armchair Analysis.com has been the preferred destination for serious NFL handicappers looking for comprehensive team statistics tailored for wagering against the point spread combined with effective betting strategies that consistently beat the Vegas line, minus the usual B.S. and hype. You will find no sportsbook ads or otherwise useless filler here.

Unlike other sites and services that try to cover all the major North American sports, this site specializes in the NFL, period, with a slant towards the analysis and dissection of over 125 different winning NFL trends. These trends focus on key league-wide situational factors and custom team ratings designed solely to find inefficiencies in the point spread, along with other opportunities for profit. You can read about many of them here.

For those of you looking to dig deeper into the specific stats and factors that truly predict NFL game outcomes versus the spread, NFL Game Sheets provide the level of detail you need with over 480 key variables covered per-game. These sheets are available online each Tuesday evening of the regular season, starting in Week 2. For more information, please consult the following 21 page PDF file.

2008 NFL Game Sheets Guide (435KB)

For a complete list of all the benefits that come with a season Subscription, including Trend Summaries, please visit the Subscription page. At only $99.95US per season, it's good information at an even better price.

Not ready to sign up? Don't despair—check in every Tuesday between September and December for a free top rated play that comes with at least a 60% Confidence percentage versus the line and please, feel free to submit Research Requests 365 days of the year.