SUBSCRIBER FEATURE: NFL TREND SUMMARIES
SUBSCRIBER FEATURE: 14-YEAR NFL DATABASE
13 Killer NFL Team Stats: A baker's dozen of useful stats for spread handicapping.
Posted: 01/30/08

When it comes to handicapping the NFL versus the point spread, there are a number of stats that I have found to be extremely effective in revealing profitable trends versus the line. The top 13 of these are listed below....

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Innovative NFL Point Spread Handicapping Exploring both Math and Mind.
NFL Situation Spotlight - #51: Teams coming off a Clutch Win (CW).
Posted: 11/09/07

It should come as no surprise to even the most novice of pro-football bettors that the outcome of a team's last game can have a significant effect on how they fare versus the number in their next contest. One particular area of interest in this regard concerns teams coming off a Clutch Win....

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NFL Situation Spotlight - #22: Play Book Execution Penalties (PBEP).
Posted: 09/07/07

There is little doubt that rushing and passing stats are the predominant tool of choice for handicappers looking to evaluate team strength and the accuracy of the point spread for any given game. My analysis is no different in some respects....

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More Cool Stats & Analysis
BB NFL Stats
Journal of Quantitative Analysis of Sports
The Football Professor
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January 2nd, 2008

The 2007 regular season has now come to a close. Please check back in September of '08 for another season of winning NFL point spread analysis. In the mean-time, new trend write-ups will be posted on the Articles page on a regular basis through-out the off-season so please check back periodically for these (or subscribe to the RSS feed).

'07 PLAYOFFS

4-1-0 ATS

'07 HIGH% PLAYS

53-36-4 ATS
Since 1999, Armchair Analysis.com has been the preferred destination for serious NFL handicappers looking for comprehensive team statistics tailored for wagering against the point spread, combined with effective betting strategies that consistently beat the Vegas line, minus the usual B.S. and hype. You will find no sportsbook ads or otherwise useless filler here.

Unlike other sites and services that try to cover all the major North American sports, this site specializes in one thing and one thing only: The analysis and dissection of over 100 different winning NFL trends that focus on key league-wide situational factors and custom team ratings designed solely to find inefficiencies in the point spread, along with other opportunities for profit. You can read about many of these trends here.

For those of you looking to dig deeper into the specific stats and factors that truly predict NFL game outcomes versus the spread, NFL Game Sheets provide the level of detail you need with over 480 key variables covered per-game. These sheets are available online each Tuesday evening of the regular season, starting in Week 2. For more information, please consult the following 15 page PDF file.

2008 NFL Game Sheets Guide (261kb)

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