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NFL Game of the WeekThe Falcons play host to the lowly Rams with much at stake. |
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December 25th, 2008 St. Louis Rams (2-13) at Atlanta Falcons -14.5 (10-5) The Rams have been going through the motions for a couple of months now and will have little to play for here, against a Falcon's squad that could conceivably jump from 5th to 2nd seed, with a win and some other help. Motivation aside, Atlanta also holds a significant 3-0 edge in situations, one of which has shown a killer profit in Week 17, over the past 14 years. It focuses on teams that are facing an opponent with a higher Gross Punt Yardage Average on the season. St.Louis comes into this game with a GPYF of 49.7 while the Falcons are at 39.7. A high Gross Punt Yardage average is not neccesarily a good thing: teams that lead in this category are often punting from deep in their own territory more-often-than-not, thanks to an ineffective offense. Week 17 is always difficult to predict, but, this situation was a solid 7-2 ATS last season and is 71-23 ATS since 1994, when a couple of other secondary conditions are added into the mix. For more information, check out the Game Sheet package below. And, good luck with all your selections this week! Atlanta's Confidence Percentage for covering the spread in this game is: 67% Season Record so far: 9-6-1 ATS Week 17 Pick: Atlanta -14.5 L Week 16 Pick: Tennessee +1.5 W Week 15 Pick: NY Giants +3 L Week 14 Pick: Cleveland +13.5 L Week 13 Pick: Kansas City +3 W Week 12 Pick: New Orleans - 3 W Week 11 Pick: Philadelphia -9 L Week 10 Pick: Minnesota -1 P Week 9 Pick: Detroit +13 W Week 8 Pick: Seattle +5 W Week 7 Pick: Indianapolis -1 L Week 6 Pick: New Orleans -7.5 W Week 5 Pick: Houston +3 L Week 4 Pick: Tampa Bay -1.5 W Week 3 Pick: Oakland +9.5 W Week 2 Pick: Buffalo +5 W |
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